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Seahawks post-season fate will be sorted out soon

Most coaches will tell you that projections are just that- projectios, nad cary no weight until March. that doesn't mean they're not worth looking at though.

As of right now bracket experts Joe Lunardi of ESPN.com and Tony Mejia of CBSSportsline.com have the UNCW men's basketball team making the NCAA tournament in their projections as an at-large.

Even with the Seahawks projected in, some have questions about their Ratings Percentage Index rating (RPI). The RPI is something that comes up every year about this time, and usually only the people seeding the teams really understand.



The RPI is a complex formula that rates teams according to their winning percentage and strength of schedule. The strength of schedule rating for said team takes into account the strength of schedule of the opponents of the teams' opponents.

To put things simply, teams need to protect their home court, steal a few big wins on the road, and hope that that every team they play does the same.

The Seahawks currently sit at 45 in the RPI, which isn't far off of last year's mid-major at-larges. Northern Iowa made the tournament with an RPI of 42, Wichita State with a 44, and St. Mary's 38. To be on the safe side, the Seahawks could afford to move up five spots.

Though the losses to College of Charleston and East Carolina may have stung at the time, they're stinging even more now. UNCW dropped the game at home to Charleston, who carries a 184 RPI. The Pirates are a lowly 273 in the ratings.

Even though the Seahawks missed out on three big chances on the road at (RPI 16) Wisconsin, at (RPI 55) Hofstra, and at (RPI 27)George Mason, the selection committee can take into account the way the lost those games. Luckily, humans will do the selections and not computers.
UNCW has an open date this weekend, and will have eight days to prepare for the Rams. Perhaps even more importantly, the Seahawks will get a nice break before heading into crunch time.

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